โŒš๏ธ Are We Early in AIโ€ฆ or Late to the Party?


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December 21, 2025 | Read Onlineโ€‹

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๐Ÿ‘‹ Hey there, Tech Fizz here. โ€‹
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Wishing happy holidays to all our readers and a chance to rest and recharge before heading into 2026!

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We'll be taking a break for Christmas so there will be no edition for next Sunday (Dec 28).

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Expect us back in your inbox in the new year on January 4th!

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What we've got in this edition:

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  • ๐Ÿšจ Market News Highlights.
  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ AI Prompts. Analyze past market bubbles to determine if AI boom is in a bubble.
  • ๐Ÿ’ผ ARKK Fund Trades. What stock positions is Cathie Wood trimming/adding to?

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MARKET RADAR

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โ›”๏ธ Proof that the stock market is rigged? The ultra-wealthy buy shares of the most in-demand companies via invite-only transactions long before the shares are listed on public stock exchanges. This dynamic is exacerbating the wealth disparity in the US.

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๐Ÿฆธโ€โ™‚๏ธ 24 leading AI companies join the US Genesis Mission. The goal is to combine cutting-edge AI with the government's massive trove of federal datasets to dramatically accelerate scientific breakthroughs in energy, drug discovery, and beyond.

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๐Ÿช The markets that never sleep. Nasdaq filed for approval to extend trading hours to 23 on weekdays, adding a 9 pm to 4 am session. The NYSE is also pushing 22-hour trading.

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๐Ÿš€ SpaceX will go public next year at a potential $1.5T valuation. Other major companies that are planning 2026 IPOs are Anthropic, Databricks, Stripe, Canva, and Kraken.

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โš›๏ธ Trump Media pivots to fusion power. Trump Media announced a $6B all-stock merger with Google-backed TAE Technologies to build the worldโ€™s first utility-scale fusion plant.

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P.S. This last story seems a bit suspicious to us in terms of timing...MIT nuclear fusion scientist was killed a few days ago...

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EARNINGS

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Company earnings reports, Dec 1, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026:

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AI PROMPTS

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๐Ÿซง Are we in an AI bubble right now?

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โฌ‡๏ธ Use the prompt below to find out whether the AI boom is in a bubble right now based on comparisons to the 1929 market crash, the dot-com bubble of 1999-2000, and the 2020 Covid shock.

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โš™๏ธ PROMPT: BUBBLE PATTERN RECOGNITION

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Role: You are a veteran investor who witnessed the 1929 crash, the dot-com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the 2020 Covid shock.
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Task: Determine whether the current AI boom resembles a speculative bubble or an early-stage technological expansion.
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Analyze the following dimensions:
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1. Valuation Regimes: Compare todayโ€™s AI leadersโ€™ P/S, EV/FCF, and implied growth rates to peak valuations in 1929, 1999โ€“2000, and 2021. Identify similarities and critical differences.
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2. Narrative Saturation: Assess how AI is discussed in mainstream media, earnings calls, retail forums, and social media. Are expectations framed as inevitable riches or incremental productivity gains?
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3. Capital Behavior: Examine IPO quality, venture capital funding terms, secondary offerings, and executive stock sales. Are insiders distributing or accumulating?
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4. Public Participation: Evaluate retail leverage, options activity, margin debt, and ETF inflows into AI-themed products.
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Output:
- A Bubble Similarity Score (0โ€“100)
- A table comparing AI today vs prior bubbles
- A 1-paragraph verdict stating whether AI is in mania, boom, or early adoption phase.
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SMART MONEY TRACKER

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๐Ÿ’ผ Recent ARKK Fund Trades for Week of Dec 15, 2025

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๐Ÿ‘‰ Buy - $COIN (Coinbase Global Inc.)

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  • Date: 12/18/2025
  • # Shares: 12,081
  • % of Total ETF: 0.0410

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  • Date: 12/17/2025
  • # Shares: 16,795
  • % of Total ETF: 0.0535

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  • Date: 12/15/2025
  • # Shares: 45,433
  • % of Total ETF: 0.1477

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๐Ÿ‘‰ Buy - $RXRX (Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc.)

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  • Date: 12/18/2025
  • # Shares: 630,331
  • % of Total ETF: 0.0398

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  • Date: 12/17/2025
  • # Shares: 1,710,985
  • % of Total ETF: 0.1076

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๐Ÿ‘‰ Buy - $BMNR (Bitmine Immersion Technologies)

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  • Date: 12/17/2025
  • # Shares: 250,029
  • % of Total ETF: 0.0955

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  • Date: 12/15/2025
  • # Shares: 385,120
  • % of Total ETF: 0.1590

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๐Ÿ‘‰ Sell - $TSLA (Tesla Inc.)

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  • Date: 12/18/2025
  • # Shares: 23,110
  • % of Total ETF: 0.1538

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  • Date: 12/15/2025
  • # Shares: 97,268
  • % of Total ETF: 0.5928

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โฌ‡๏ธ Follow @ArkkDaily on X for daily fund updates!

Whenever you're ready to take the next step

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  • We're building a free paper trading tool you can use to practice investing with virtual money. Join the waitlist for early access.

๐Ÿ˜Ž Vibe Check

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Thoughts on this week's newsletter?

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โ€‹ ๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿค‘ Keep 'Em Coming, Big Boy โ€‹

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๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿค‘ Not Great, Not Terrible โ€‹

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๐Ÿค‘ Weak Sauce โ€‹
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If this newsletter was forwarded to you and you thought it was ๐Ÿ”ฅ, you can subscribe here.

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๐Ÿ‘‡ Follow us on Twitter ๐Ÿ‘‡

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As always, thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!

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Tech Fizz Team, signing off ๐Ÿซก

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DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not financial advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.

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