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Last week we said a recession was on the horizon.

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This week Goldman Sachs said the likelihood of one is 20%.

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Is that a high probability? Dunno. That's for you to decide.

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Here are some fun stats for last month:

• Food inflation rose 2.6% year over year
  • Egg prices rose 58.8%
  • Instant coffee climbed 8.6%
  • Candy prices rose 4%
• Energy costs sank 0.2% annually
  • Price of gas dropped 3.1%
  • Fuel oil fell 5.1%
• Shelter (aka housing) rose 4.2% annually

DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not monetary advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.

Week of March 10, 2025

*Stock data as of market close on March 14, 2025. Cryptocurrency data as of 7:00pm ET.

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Markets

• S&P 500 has fallen over 10% from its last record high, annihilating $5.28 trillion in market value (greater than Germany's nominal GDP).
• Bitcoin dipped all the way down to ~$77.5k in the early hours of Mar 11 and managed to close out the week just short of $85k.
• Fear and Greed Index improved by 1 point; still showing Extreme Fear in the markets.

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Earnings

Mar 10: Oracle (ORCL) Q3 EPS came in 1.3% below expectations, and revenue earnings missed expectations by $260M.

Mar 12: Adobe (ADBE) Q1 EPS came in 2.2% above expectations, and revenue earnings exceeded expectations by $50M.

Mar 13: DocuSign (DOCU) Q4 EPS came in 2.4% above expectations, and revenue earnings exceeded expectations by $15M.

• View full earnings calendar here.
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Economic Reports

​Job openings increased by 232,000 to 7.74 million in January 2025, up from a revised 7.51 million in December and surpassing the market expectation of 7.63 million.

The annual inflation rate in the US eased to 2.8% in February from 3% in January and below market expectations of 2.9%.

​Consumer sentiment fell to a 29-month low - dropping to 57.9 in March 2025, the lowest since November 2022, from 64.7 in February.

📊 CHART

📈 Stock Picks

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$META (Meta Platforms Inc)
📆 Publicly traded since 2012
💰 Specializes in Social Media Platforms, AI, and AR/VR
📍 Headquarters in Menlo Park, California​
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Financial Green Flags

Based on Quarterly Earnings Report:

✅ Beat EPS expectations by 19.0%

✅ Beat revenue expectations by 2.96%

✅ Net income is up 48.7% Year-over-Year

✅ Diluted EPS are up 51.3% Year-over-Year

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Things to Consider

💡 Meta is the only company out of the Mag7 whose stock has managed to dodge the market wide downturn and is actually up 3% YTD.

💡 The tech giant has started testing its own in-house AI training chip in order to minimize its dependence on Nvidia (mass production is scheduled for next year).

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The Bottom Line

Zuck might be a weirdo, but he knows how to run Meta. Its stock is weathering the storm and even generating some positive returns. Financials are stellar and consistently beat analyst expectations. As Fry from Futurama says, "Shut up and take [our] money."

$ORCL (Oracle)
📆 Publicly traded since 1986
💰 Specializes in Cloud Computing and Database Management
📍 Headquarters in Austin, Texas

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Financial Green Flags

Based on Quarterly Earnings Report:

✅ Net income is up 22.3% Year-over-Year

✅ Diluted EPS are up 20.0% Year-over-Year

✅ Return on equity (ROE) is 52.2% for nine months ended​
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Things to Consider

💡 Although the company missed its most recent EPS and revenue expectations, there's light at the end of the tunnel. Revenue from its cloud infrastructure segment rose 49% YoY, and management has plans to 2x data center capacity this year.

💡 Oracle is a top choice in helping TikTok manage its operations in the US. Btw, TikTok has already been using Oracle servers to store data of US users since 2022.

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The Bottom Line

The company can't hide the fact that it missed EPS expectations by 1.3% and revenue expectations by 1.8%. But at the same time, its core financials have been consistently solid over the past 3 quarterly earnings reports. If it also becomes TikTok's primary partner for US operations, we can see its cloud infrastructure business going to the moon (not literally, but there have been talks about setting up data centers on the moon...).

🤖 Artificial Intelligence

• Chinese startup Butterfly Effect released an AI agent called Manus AI that can build apps, do in-depth research, and screen resumes autonomously. It performs better than OpenAI's Deep Research on the GAIA benchmark.

🧬 Biotechnology

• As a first step towards resurrecting the woolly mammoth, genetics startup Colossal Biosciences successfully engineered a mouse with mammoth-like fur using CRISPR gene editing.

🎮 Electronics

• Texas Instruments built the "world's smallest" micro-controller that measures just 1.38 mm² in size and has an operating temperature range of -40°C to 125°C.

🔋 Energy Storage

• Chinese researchers created a nuclear battery comprised of radioactive carbon that can last 100 years.

🦾 Robotics

• Google DeepMind released a vision-language-action (VLA) model, called Gemini Robotics, that allows people to build general purpose robots.

Equity Crowdfunding

​Invest in Yummy Future, the startup that's on a mission to 10x human productivity via robotic workforces for the food and beverage industry.

​Invest in Qnetic, the company developing a revolutionary flywheel energy storage system that offers an unlimited lifespan by storing energy kinetically instead of chemically.

Note: If you're serious about investing in any of these startups, do a Porter's Five Forces Analysis first.​
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Venture Capital

🚓 Flock Safety, a company that provides a full-service tech solution that helps communities prevent crime, raised $275M at a valuation of $7.5B with Andreessen Horowitz as the lead investor.

🪢 Celestial AI, a company that develops an optical interconnect technology platform for data center and AI computing solutions, raised $250M at a valuation of $2.5B with Fidelity Management & Research Co. as the lead investor.

🛡️ Cybereason, a security platform that analyzes security-related events to prevent ransomware attacks, raised $120M with SoftBank as one of the lead investors.

Insights from Google Trends...

🍳 Search volume for “egg prices” shot up by 200% on Mar 11 ➡️ As inflation cools off a bit, egg prices are at a record high. They’ve gone up 58.8% annually. (Fun fact: A baby chick only costs about $3-$5 🐣)

🚀 Search volume for “spacex launch today” shot up by 1,000% on Mar 12 ➡️ NASA mission to rescue two stranded astronauts on the ISS was scheduled but ultimately delayed until Mar 14.

⚱️ Search volume for “gold price” shot up by 100% on Mar 13 ➡️ Gold ascended to $3,000 for the first time ever as people are hedging against inflation and economic uncertainty.

Vibe Check

Thoughts on this week's newsletter?

​ 🤑🤑🤑 Keep 'em coming! ​
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​ 🤑🤑 Not great, not terrible ​
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​ 🤑 Weak sauce ​

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Thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!

- Tech Fizz Team

DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not monetary advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.