War is bad for risk-on assets, which is why markets sank when Israel unleashed aerial strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities.
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But there are winners in this situation: Raytheon Technologies ($RTX) and Northrop Grumman Corporation ($NOC) which climbed 13% and 10% on June 12, respectively.
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What we've got in this edition:
IPO Party. Three major companies IPO'd this week and saw their stock soar.
Alpha Picks. Two smaller cap stocks with a lot of upside potential.
BYD's 5-min Charging Tech. Is Tesla cooked?
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*Stock market data as of market close on June 13, 2025. Crypto data as of June 14, 2025 @ 12:00 PM PT.
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IPO Radar
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π°οΈ Space company Voyager Technologies IPO'd on June 11. +84% on first trading day.
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π¦ Fintech company Chime IPO'd on June 12. +37% on first trading day.
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π Aerospace/Defense company AIRO IPO'd on June 13. +135% on first trading day.
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βΏ Crypto company Gemini filed confidentially to go public.
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Earnings Season
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Company
EPS
Revenue
Insight
Oracle
π Beat
π Beat
Bullish outlook. Cloud infrastructure revenue up 52% for Q4.
Adobe
π Beat
π Beat
Stronger-than-expected revenue, profit, and cash flow.
π Inflation data comes in below expectations. Headline CPI rose 0.1% over the month and 2.4% annually (below expectations of 2.5%). Core CPI (excludes volatile food and energy prices) also rose 0.1% over the month and 2.8% year over year(below expectations of 2.9%). Some inflation, but not too much, paired with GDP growth has a positive effect on the stock market because it signals an upturn in the business cycle. βMarket Impact: βοΈ Bullish
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% Market confident in two rate cuts this year (beginning in September). For now, the Fed is holding rates steady since inflation caused by tariffs can still show up in June data. But if all is well, rate cuts are probably coming. This would be a positive development for the stock market because lower rates encourage investors to move their money from bonds to equities (stocks) and they reduce the cost of borrowing for businesses. βMarket Impact: βοΈ Bullish
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πProbability of US recession reduced from 35% to 30% by Goldman Sachs. The basis for this reduction is the improved trade relationship between the US and China after "Liberation Day". Lower likelihood of recession = higher likelihood of healthy economy = higher investor confidence. βMarket Impact: βοΈ Bullish
Profile: Health technology company. Publicly traded on OTCQB market since 2008. Market cap of $278M. Last closed at $15.05/share.
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Financials: Posted Q1 2025 revenue of $21.9M (up 11% YoY). Gross profit climbed 9% during the same period. Raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to between $101M and $106M.
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Risk/Opportunity: Company shifted towards subscription-based contracts and now over 5% of 2025 sales are recurring. Management expects this trend to continue in the coming quarters.
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The Verdict: Small-cap with serious upside potential. Stock has jumped 198% YTD and management seems to have nailed down revenue model.
Profile: Earth imaging company. IPO'd in December 2021. Market cap of $1.66B. Last closed at $5.46/share.
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Financials: Posted $66.3M in sales and its second profitable EPS. Project backlog more than doubled from $232M to $498M.
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Risk/Opportunity: 70% of revenue comes from government clients (potential overexposure). However, the European Space Agency (ESA) recently committed to an eight-figure annual contract and a $230M Pelican contract has been signed.
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The Verdict: Medium-cap outperforming expectations. Growing backlog signals revenue growth and sustained demand.
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β°οΈ Tech Terrain
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π High Impact | BYD's 5-Minute Charging
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Background: BYD's 1,000-kilowatt fast chargers can supply nearly 250 miles of fresh range in five minutes (as quick as filling up with gasoline!).
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Investor Impact: Obviously bullish for BYD since its tech is currently superior to competitors' (namely Tesla). Speaking of Tesla, this development is bearish for its stock since customers will naturally gravitate towards EV tech that can charge the fastest. Not to mention that Tesla is already losing market share in Europe.
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π Moderate Impact | AMD Reveals Next-Gen AI Chips
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Background: The company is introducing the Instinct MI400 series. They can be assembled into full server racks with thousands of chips. The rack-scale setup will make the chips look to users like one system.
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Investor Impact: Bullish for AMD since they will be selling thousands of these chips to OpenAI to enhance their large language models.
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π Watchlist | Walmart Aerial Deliveries
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Background: Walmart is scaling up its partnership with Googleβs drone company Wing to bring aerial deliveries to 100 more stores across the US.
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Investor Impact: This won't have an immediate impact on Walmart's financials, but in the long-term, it can spur customer interest and increase spending due to the novelty of getting things delivered via drones.
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π£οΈ Social Signals
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Source: @unusual_whales on Twitter
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π‘ Top Google Searches (June 9 - June 13):
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Trend
Search Volume
Insight
"cpi inflation rate"
β¬οΈ 600%
Inflation came in lower than expected. Experts warn that effects from tariffs are still coming.
"chime stock"
β¬οΈ 200%
Chime Financial IPO'd on June 12 and its stock soared +37%.
"oil prices"
β¬οΈ 600%
Oil prices jump after Israel strikes Iranian nuclear facilities.
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π§ Twitter Social Sentiment Scorecard (June 9 - June 13):
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Trend
Mood
Insight
$HOOD
π Bullish
"Invest America" Plan: Robinhood will support $1k index fund accounts for every U.S. child born from 2025-2028.
$ORCL
π Bullish
Strong earnings report gives best stock performance since 2001.
4% Bitcoin
π Bullish
Coinbase partners with Amex to launch βCoinbase One Cardβ offering up to 4% Bitcoin back on all purchases.
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