🫧 Your Market Cheatsheet πŸ“


July 27, 2025 | Read Online​

Hey there, Tech Fizz here.

This newsletter will be shorter than usual. It's vacation time for me, so there will be no edition next week.

Will be coming back to your inbox on August 9.

What we've got in this edition:

πŸ—ƒοΈ New IPO Filings.

πŸ€‘ Earnings Bonanza.

🚁 Archer Aviation.

πŸ€– The USA AI Action Plan.

IPO Radar

πŸ›οΈ BitGo, the digital asset custodian, filed to go public with $100B of assets under custody.

πŸš€ Firefly Aerospace filed its S-1 paperwork, revealing Q1 revenues were up 572% year-over-year to $55.8M.

βš–οΈ Grayscale, the crypto asset manager, filed to go public with $33B of assets under management.

Earnings

  • Texas Instruments ($TXN) is down 15% in the last week
    • Beat revenue expectations by 16%
    • Beat EPS expectations by 16%
  • Tesla ($TSLA) is down 5.66% in the last week
    • Missed revenue expectations by 12%
    • Missed EPS expectations by 23%
  • Intel ($INTC) is down 12.52% in the last week
    • Revenue flat year-over-year
    • Loss per share $0.67

Economic Reports

πŸ’Έ Strong Corporate Earnings. Roughly 83% of S&P 500 companies beat earnings‑per‑share expectations.
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Market Impact: ↗️ Bullish

🏦 Central Bank Independence Scrutiny. President Trump’s public criticism of Jerome Powell triggered concerns about diminishing central bank independence.​
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Market Impact: β†˜οΈ Bearish

β‚Ώ Tariffs and Crypto‑Friendly Legislative Developments. Progress in U.S.–EU tariff negotiations and the signing of the GENIUS Act supported improved sentiments around trade policy and financial innovation.
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Market Impact: ↗️ Bullish

πŸ“’ Stock in the Headlines: Archer Aviation ($ACHR)

Reason for attention: Archer Aviation plans to launch commercial air taxi service in the US before the LA Olympic Games in 2028.

Profile: Electric vertical takeoff and landing company. IPO'd in September 2021. Market cap of $7.11B. Last closed at $11.21/share.

  • Strengths:
    • High liquidity. Company ended Q1 2025 with its strongest-ever cash position of ~$1.03 billion.
    • Path to commercialization. Built high‑volume manufacturing facility in Georgia and established a pilot training academy certified by the FAA.
    • Strategic Partnerships. Launch Edition agreements with Abu Dhabi Aviation and Ethiopian Airlines. Manufacturing support from Stellantis.
  • Weaknesses:
    • No revenue. Relying on future commercialization for value creation.
    • Heavy losses. Operating losses indicate high burn and path-dependent funding needs.
    • Insider Selling. Recent insider sales (including from CFO/CTO) and stake reductions by institutional holders.

The Verdict: High-risk, high-reward position.

⛰️ Tech Terrain

On July 23, the White House released the AI Action Plan, the Trump administration's massive AI roadmap.

Here are the 3 main pillars:

  1. Accelerate AI Innovation
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  2. Build American AI Infrastructure
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  3. Lead in International AI Diplomacy and Security

Point #2 presents opportunities and major upside potential for companies like Nvidia, OpenAI, and Google who are already investing billions of dollars into building out data centers and AI computing capabilities.

😎 Vibe Check

Thoughts on this week's newsletter?

​ πŸ€‘πŸ€‘πŸ€‘ Keep 'Em Coming, Big Boy ​

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πŸ€‘πŸ€‘ Not Great, Not Terrible ​

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πŸ€‘ Weak Sauce ​
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As always, thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!

Tech Fizz Team, signing off 🫑

DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not monetary advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.

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