🫧 Your Market Cheatsheet πŸ“


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July 27, 2025 | Read Online​

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Hey there, Tech Fizz here.

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This newsletter will be shorter than usual. It's vacation time for me, so there will be no edition next week.

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Will be coming back to your inbox on August 9.

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What we've got in this edition:

πŸ—ƒοΈ New IPO Filings.

πŸ€‘ Earnings Bonanza.

🚁 Archer Aviation.

πŸ€– The USA AI Action Plan.

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IPO Radar

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πŸ›οΈ BitGo, the digital asset custodian, filed to go public with $100B of assets under custody.

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πŸš€ Firefly Aerospace filed its S-1 paperwork, revealing Q1 revenues were up 572% year-over-year to $55.8M.

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βš–οΈ Grayscale, the crypto asset manager, filed to go public with $33B of assets under management.

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Earnings

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  • Texas Instruments ($TXN) is down 15% in the last week
    • Beat revenue expectations by 16%
    • Beat EPS expectations by 16%

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  • Tesla ($TSLA) is down 5.66% in the last week
    • Missed revenue expectations by 12%
    • Missed EPS expectations by 23%

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  • Intel ($INTC) is down 12.52% in the last week
    • Revenue flat year-over-year
    • Loss per share $0.67

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Economic Reports

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πŸ’Έ Strong Corporate Earnings. Roughly 83% of S&P 500 companies beat earnings‑per‑share expectations.
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Market Impact: ↗️ Bullish

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🏦 Central Bank Independence Scrutiny. President Trump’s public criticism of Jerome Powell triggered concerns about diminishing central bank independence.​
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Market Impact: β†˜οΈ Bearish

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β‚Ώ Tariffs and Crypto‑Friendly Legislative Developments. Progress in U.S.–EU tariff negotiations and the signing of the GENIUS Act supported improved sentiments around trade policy and financial innovation.
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Market Impact: ↗️ Bullish

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πŸ“’ Stock in the Headlines: Archer Aviation ($ACHR)

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Reason for attention: Archer Aviation plans to launch commercial air taxi service in the US before the LA Olympic Games in 2028.

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Profile: Electric vertical takeoff and landing company. IPO'd in September 2021. Market cap of $7.11B. Last closed at $11.21/share.

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  • Strengths:
    • High liquidity. Company ended Q1 2025 with its strongest-ever cash position of ~$1.03 billion.
    • Path to commercialization. Built high‑volume manufacturing facility in Georgia and established a pilot training academy certified by the FAA.
    • Strategic Partnerships. Launch Edition agreements with Abu Dhabi Aviation and Ethiopian Airlines. Manufacturing support from Stellantis.

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  • Weaknesses:
    • No revenue. Relying on future commercialization for value creation.
    • Heavy losses. Operating losses indicate high burn and path-dependent funding needs.
    • Insider Selling. Recent insider sales (including from CFO/CTO) and stake reductions by institutional holders.

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The Verdict: High-risk, high-reward position.

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⛰️ Tech Terrain

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On July 23, the White House released the AI Action Plan, the Trump administration's massive AI roadmap.

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Here are the 3 main pillars:

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  1. Accelerate AI Innovation
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  2. Build American AI Infrastructure
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  3. Lead in International AI Diplomacy and Security

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Point #2 presents opportunities and major upside potential for companies like Nvidia, OpenAI, and Google who are already investing billions of dollars into building out data centers and AI computing capabilities.

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😎 Vibe Check

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Thoughts on this week's newsletter?

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​ πŸ€‘πŸ€‘πŸ€‘ Keep 'Em Coming, Big Boy ​

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πŸ€‘πŸ€‘ Not Great, Not Terrible ​

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πŸ€‘ Weak Sauce ​
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If this newsletter was forwarded to you and you thought it was πŸ”₯, you can subscribe here.

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Follow us on Twitter (yeah, we ain't calling it X).

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As always, thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!

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Tech Fizz Team, signing off 🫑

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DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not monetary advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.

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