๐ฎ Government Shutdown Prediction.Traders on Polymarket are predicting a 48% chance that the shutdown will last until Nov 16, 2025 or later.
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๐ OpenAI plans for IPO in 2026 at up to $1 trillion valuation. This news comes after OpenAI completed its restructuring, where the non-profit OpenAI Foundation oversees the for-profit OpenAI Group. Microsoft gets a 27% stake in the for-profit entity.
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๐ Fed cuts interest rate. The Fed Funds Interest Rate was cut by another 25 bps (0.25%), bringing it down to a target range of 3.75% - 4.00%. How does this impact the consumer?
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๐ค Checking in on AI crypto trading contest.It's been over 2 weeks since the start of the experiment where someone gave various AI models $10,000 to trade crypto markets. You'll be surprised which model has gained the most and lost the most money.
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EARNINGS
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Companies Reporting Earnings, Week of November 2nd, 2025:
In investing, 'what' to buy is only half the battle. The other half is 'when' to buy.
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The 'what' can be answered through Fundamental Analysis:
Analyzing a company's financial statement. Specifically, the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement.
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Finding out if the company is actually a good business. Is it profitable? Is it drowning in debt? Most importantly, is it cheap (undervalued) or expensive (overvalued) compared to its competitors?
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The 'when' be can answered through Technical Analysis:
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Reading market sentiment and momentum through charts to identify entry and exit points.
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Analyzing price and volume action to verify short-term/long-term trends.
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Based on the definitions above, we've designed two prompts for you that will seriously enhance and accelerate your stock research process.
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๐ Let's get to it.
โ๏ธ Prompt #1: Fundamental Analysis
๐ก Purpose: This prompt is designed to provide a holistic view of a company's financial health, forcing a peer-to-peer comparison for context.
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#CONTEXT:
Act as an expert fundamental analyst. I need a concise fundamental evaluation of a company based on its three financial statements. โ #INPUTS: **Ticker to Analyze:** [e.g., $HD] **Competitor Tickers for Comparison:** [e.g., $LOW, $TSCO] **Industry Average:** [e.g., "Home Improvement Retail"] โ #TASK: Using the most recent TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) data, generate a fundamental analysis report. For each financial ratio, you *must* provide the value for my target company and compare it against its competitors and the industry average. โ 1. **Profitability (From the Income Statement):** *P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings):* [Value, and is this high/low vs. peers?] *Operating Margin %:* [Value, and is this better/worse than peers?] *EPS Growth (YoY):* [Value, and is it growing faster/slower than peers?] โ 2. **Financial Health (From the Balance Sheet):** *Debt-to-Equity Ratio:* [Value. How does its leverage compare to peers?] *Current Ratio:* [Value. Does it have strong short-term liquidity vs.
peers?] โ 3. **Cash Flow (From the Cash Flow Statement):** *Price-to-Cash-Flow (P/CF):* [Value. Is it cheaper/more expensive than
peers on a cash basis?] *Free Cash Flow (FCF) Yield:* [Value. Is it generating more or less cash
for shareholders than its peers?] โ #OUTPUT: Based *only* on the fundamental data above, provide a 2-3 sentence summary answering these two questions:
โ 1. What is the key "fundamental story" of this company? (e.g., "A high-
profitability, high-leverage company...")
โ 2. Fundamentally, does this stock appear to be [Undervalued / Fairly Valued /
Overvalued] relative to its direct competitors?
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โ๏ธ Prompt #2: Technical Analysis Scorecard
๐ก Purpose: This prompt instructs your LLM to calculate and interpret the most popular technical indicators, then synthesize them into a single, actionable summary.
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#CONTEXT:
Act as an expert technical analyst. I need a comprehensive technical analysis "scorecard" for a stock I am researching. โ #INPUTS: **Ticker:** [e.g., $AAPL] **Time Horizon:** [e.g., Short-term (daily chart), Mid-term (weekly chart)] โ #TASK: Based on the most recent market data for my chosen ticker and time horizon, generate a report by evaluating the following key indicators. For each, provide the data and a one-sentence interpretation (e.g., "Bullish," "Bearish," or "Neutral"). โ 1. **Trend Analysis (Moving Averages):** *50-Day vs. 200-Day MA:* What is the 50-day moving average? What is the
200-day? Is the 50-day *above* (Golden Cross) or *below* (Death Cross)
the 200-day? *Interpretation:* โ 2. **Momentum Analysis (RSI):** *14-Day RSI:* What is the current Relative Strength Index (RSI)? *Interpretation:* (Is it overbought >70, oversold <30, or in a neutral/
strong trend?) โ 3. **Volatility Analysis (Bollinger Bands):** *Price vs. Bands:* Is the current price touching the upper band, lower
band, or near the 20-day (middle) moving average? *Interpretation:* (e.g., "Signaling potential mean reversion" or
"Confirming a strong breakout"?) โ 4. **Volume & "Smart Money" Analysis (OBV):** *On-Balance Volume (OBV) Trend:* Is the OBV trend *confirming* the price
trend (e.g., new price highs are confirmed by new OBV highs) or
*diverging* from it? *Interpretation:* (Is volume flowing in or out, suggesting accumulation
or distribution?) โ 5. **Key Levels (Support & Resistance):** *Support:* What is the nearest major support level? *Resistance:* What is the nearest major resistance level? โ #OUTPUT: After evaluating all five points, provide a 1-2 sentence "Overall Technical Summary" that synthesizes these signals. Conclude with a final, one-word outlook: **[Bullish / Bearish / Neutral]**. โ
SMART MONEY TRACKER
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ETF flow analysis for week of Oct 27, 2025:
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๐ป $XLK - Tech Fund: +$536.8M inflow
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๐ฆ $XLF - Financial Fund: +$447.1M inflow
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โก๏ธ $XLU - Utilities Fund: +$94.8M inflow
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๐ฅ $XLV - Healthcare Fund: +$55.9M inflow
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๐๏ธ $XLI - Industrials Fund: -$7.9M outflow
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๐ข๏ธ $XLE - Energy Fund: -$52.7M outflow
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๐ $XLRE - Real Estate Fund: -$96.6M outflow
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1-week ETF sector performance. Source: Finviz
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ETF flow analysis is a pretty general, big-picture approach to tracking smart money movement.
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Let's zoom in and examine some Hedge Fund activity.
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Recent 13D amendment filing:
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๐ฆ Hedge Fund: Starboard Value
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๐ผ Portfolio Manager: Jeffrey Smith
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๐ Performance 25Q2: +4.15%
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๐ต AUM: $5.77B
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303.95k shares of $ROG were bought between 2025-6-30 and 2025-10-29 (filed 13D amendment 2025-10-31). Brings total ownership to 1.20M shares. 6.7% ownership of company.
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The timing of this filing coincides almost perfectly with the company's (Rogers Corporation) most recent earnings report:
As always, thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!
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Tech Fizz Team, signing off ๐ซก
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DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not financial advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.
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