๐Ÿ›๏ธ US govt shutdown is about to end (probably)


November 9, 2025 | Read Onlineโ€‹

๐Ÿ‘‹ Hey there, Tech Fizz here.

A few weeks ago we asked our readers what their favorite GenAI tool was. Here are the results:

What we've got in this edition:

  • ๐Ÿšจ Market News Highlights.
  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ AI Prompts. New prompt engineering framework unlocked.
  • ๐ŸŒŠ ETF Flow Analysis and ARKK Fund Trades. Which tech stocks are being bought and sold?

MARKET RADAR

๐Ÿค‘ Making it rain. Big Tech is expected to spend over $750B on AI capex in the next two years.

๐ŸŒŠ October layoffs surge to 22-year high. Employers announced 153,000 job cuts last month, and total layoffs for 2025 have now exceeded 1 million.

๐Ÿšจ Popular stock valuation method is flashing red. The Shiller Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio has recently surpassed 40 for only the second time in history.

๐Ÿค– Potential Tesla-Intel partnership. Elon Musk is thinking about partnering with Intel to build a semiconductor fabrication plant to meet AI and robotics needs.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Polymarket odds of different government shutdown scenarios.โ€‹

EARNINGS

Companies Reporting Earnings, Week of November 9th, 2025:

AI PROMPTS

๐Ÿ“‘ A research paper titled "Verbalized Sampling: How to Mitigate Mode Collapse and Unlock LLM Diversity" was recently published by Stanford, Northeastern, and West Virginia University.

Without going into too much detail, the paper essentially introduces the concept of Verbalized Sampling and how it can be used to generate multiple diverse responses to a single prompt.

According to the researchers, this prompt engineering technique "unlocks" the AI model's full range of potential answers by:

  • mitigating mode collapse (when the model produces a limited, repetitive set of outputs instead of a diverse range of possibilities)
  • improving diversity and creativity without requiring model retraining.

๐Ÿ’ก The takeaway: Instead of getting a single, often generic answer, you can get a distribution of options that reveal how the model "thinks".

๐Ÿ‘‡ Let's see this prompt framework in action ๐Ÿ‘‡

โš™๏ธ Verbalized Sampling Prompt Method:

#CONTEXT:

โ€‹
#GOAL:

Act as an experienced financial advisor. My goal is to hedge against economic uncertainty.

#TASK:

Advise on how I should re-balance my portfolio or what alternative assets I should acquire during a prolonged government shutdown, deteriorating labor market, and unaffordable housing market.

๐Ÿ“ค Sample Output:

Response #1:

During periods of economic uncertainty like a prolonged government shutdown and weakening labor market, consider increasing your allocation to **short-duration Treasury bonds** and **TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities)**. These provide safety, liquidity, and inflation hedging. Reduce exposure to cyclical equities and high-yield debt which may underperform.

Response #2:

Rebalance your portfolio to include **precious metals**, especially **gold and silver ETFs**, which historically act as safe havens during political and fiscal instability. They're particularly useful when confidence in government functioning erodes.

Response #3:

Consider allocating 5-10% of your portfolio to **real assets** like **farmland REITs** or **infrastructure funds**. These provide income and inflation protection while being less correlated to traditional equity markets, which is important when the housing market is unaffordable and under stress.

Response #4:

Reduce overexposure to real estate and mortgage-backed assets. In an unaffordable housing market, these instruments can underperform. Replace with **defensive sector stocks** like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples which maintain earnings even in downturns.

Response #5:

Add exposure to **global macro hedge funds** or **multi-strategy funds** that thrive on volatility and policy-driven dislocations. These can dynamically adjust exposures and protect capital when traditional assets are under pressure due to U.S. fiscal gridlock or labor shocks.

SMART MONEY TRACKER

ETF flow analysis for week of Nov 3, 2025:

๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ $XLE - Energy Fund: +$427.6M inflow

๐Ÿ—๏ธ $XLI - Industrials Fund: -$62.8M outflow

๐Ÿ’ป $XLK - Tech Fund: -$93.4M outflow

๐Ÿฅ $XLV - Healthcare Fund: -$114.3M outflow

โšก๏ธ $XLU - Utilities Fund: -$142.7M outflow

๐Ÿ  $XLRE - Real Estate Fund: -$159.4M outflow

๐Ÿฆ $XLF - Financial Fund: -$203.7M outflow

Some observations:

  • Most funds (that we're tracking) saw an outflow of capital; only $XLE (Energy Fund) saw a significant inflow.
  • Most of the US tech sector saw a draw-down, except for $SOXS (Semiconductors).
  • Although there was significant outflow from $XLF (Finanical Fund), the Financials Sector saw mostly gains.

Now let's switch it up and check out some notable trades that were made by the infamous ARK Innovation Fund last week.

ARKK Fund Trades:

๐Ÿ’ผ Fund CEO: Cathie Wood

๐Ÿ“ˆ Fund Performance YTD: +42.29%

๐Ÿฆ AUM: $7.70B

11/7/2025 Notable Trades

๐ŸŸข Bought 264,587 shares of $TTD (Trade Desk Inc)

๐Ÿ”ด Sold 215,684 shares of $GTLB (GitLab)

11/6/2025 Notable Trades

๐ŸŸข Bought 2,346,543 shares of $ACHR (Archer Aviation)

๐Ÿ”ด Sold 217,463 shares of $EXAS (Exact Sciences Corp)

11/5/2025 Notable Trades

๐Ÿ”ด Sold 105,576 shares of $ROKU (Roku Inc)

11/4/2025 Notable Trades

๐ŸŸข Bought 140,462 shares of $CRSP (Crispr Therapeutics AG)

Whenever you're ready to take the next step

  • We're building a free paper trading tool you can use to practice investing with virtual money. Join the waitlist for early access.

๐Ÿ˜Ž Vibe Check

Thoughts on this week's newsletter?

โ€‹ ๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿค‘ Keep 'Em Coming, Big Boy โ€‹

โ€‹
โ€‹
๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿค‘ Not Great, Not Terrible โ€‹

โ€‹
โ€‹
๐Ÿค‘ Weak Sauce โ€‹
โ€‹

If this newsletter was forwarded to you and you thought it was ๐Ÿ”ฅ, you can subscribe here.

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As always, thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!

Tech Fizz Team, signing off ๐Ÿซก

DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not financial advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.

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