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A recession is coming.

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Maybe.

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Economic growth slowdown, a weak private sector jobs report, and a tariffs war are not good developments for the market.

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Just remember this: DO NOT panic sell. Do what the rich do. Grab stocks at a discount when everyone else is selling.

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Go against the grain and you can make a lot of money in the long run. 📈💰

DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not monetary advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.

Week of March 3, 2025

*Stock data as of market close on March 7, 2025. Cryptocurrency data as of 7:00pm ET.

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Markets

• S&P 500 wiped out all post-election gains ($3.4T). Now we're back to Nov. 5 levels. The Nasdaq took the biggest hit in terms of percentage points.
• Bitcoin dipped to ~$82k at the start of the week and managed to climb to ~$93k by Thursday morning. Closed out the week just short of $87k.
• Fear and Greed Index is unchanged from last week; still showing Extreme Fear in the markets.

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Earnings

March 4: CrowdStrike (CRWD) Q4 EPS came in 20% above expectations, and revenue earnings exceeded expectations by $30M.

March 6: Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 EPS came in 6% above expectations, and revenue earnings exceeded expectations by $300M.

March 6: Hewlett Packard (HPE) Q4 EPS came in 2% below expectations, and revenue earnings exceeded expectations by $10M.

• View full earnings calendar here.
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Economic Reports

Employers cut over 172K jobs in February, while the private sector only added 77K new jobs.

The Atlanta Fed just lowered its GDP forecast and now predicts a 2.8% economic contraction for Q1 2025 (warning sign of recession).

US trade deficit rises to $130B as companies rush to import goods to avoid tariffs.

📊 CHART

📈 Stock Picks

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$TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp.)
📆 Publicly traded since 1994
💰 Specializes in Semiconductors
📍 Headquarters in Hsinchu, Taiwan​
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Financial Green Flags

Based on Quarterly Earnings Report:

✅ Net income is up 15.2% Quarter-over-Quarter

✅ Net income is up 57.1% Year-over-Year

✅ Diluted earnings per share (EPS) are up 15.2% Quarter-over-Quarter

✅ Diluted earnings per share (EPS) are up 57% Year-over-Year

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Things to Consider

💡 The company is doubling-down on its US presence by investing an additional $100B, which will fund 3 chip plants, 2 packaging facilities, an R&D center and will potentially create ~25K jobs in Arizona.

💡 This spending spree could help boost US chip manufacturing from nearly zero to ~40% of global market share.

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The Bottom Line

TSMC stock has dropped ~10% YTD. The emotional investor will see this as a reason to sell. But the smart and patient investor will see this as an opportunity to purchase at a discount. Financials are solid and the company has a clear plan to expand its business. We're definitely getting our hands on some shares.

$CRWD (CrowdStrike)
📆 Publicly traded since 2019
💰 Specializes in Cybersecurity
📍 Headquarters in Austin, Texas

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Financial Green Flags

Based on Quarterly Earnings Report:

✅ EPS: $1.03, higher than analysts’ estimate of $0.86

✅ Revenue: $1.06 billion, higher than the expected $1.03 billion

✅ Revenue is up 25.22% Year-over-Year​
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Things to Consider

💡 The company's management predicts earnings per share to land between $3.33 and $3.45 this year, below Wall Street's consensus target of $3.76.

💡 For Q1 2025, the company expects $73M in additional expenses due to July’s global IT outage. Despite better-than-expected Q4 results, the cybersecurity provider’s weak guidance fell short of analyst expectations.

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The Bottom Line

CrowdStrike showed us better-than-expected Q4 results, but investor confidence faded because of weak projections. Before the unexpected summer IT outage, the company was consistently beating EPS and revenue expectations. We believe once those additional expenses are taken care of, the company will be back on track delivering solid financials. We're going to take advantage of the dip.

🤖 Artificial Intelligence

• Alibaba launched a new version of its Qwen reasoning model, called QwQ-32B, that only has 32B parameters but performs better than DeepSeek’s R1 model which has 671B parameters.

🦾 Robotics

• 22% of surgeries are now robotic-assisted which has led to less bleeding, less time in the hospital, and faster recovery time with less pain.

🧠 Synthetic Biology

• Australian startup Cortical Labs has revealed a "biological computer" that runs on human brain cells and silicon hardware.

⚛️ Quantum Technology

• Swiss semiconductor company SEALSQ recently introduced the QS7001, the world's first chip designed to protect against quantum computing attacks.

Equity Crowdfunding

​Invest in iPNOTE, the AI-powered global IP management platform that reduces patent and trademark registration costs by 5x (investing round ends on Mar 14 @ 11:59 PM ET).

​Invest in Zero Carbon, the company that's turning trash into clean energy (investing round ends on Mar 12 @ 11:59 PM ET).

Note: If you're serious about investing in any of these startups, do a Porter's Five Forces Analysis first.​
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Venture Capital

🤖 Anthropic, the AI company behind Claude, raised $3.5B at a valuation of $61.5B with Lightspeed Venture Partners as the lead investor.

⚡️ Epirus, a company that builds directed energy and power management systems, raised $250M with 8VC as one of the lead investors.

🛡️ Shield AI, an artificial intelligence company that aims to protect service members and civilians with intelligent systems, raised $240M at a valuation of $5.3B with Hanwha Aerospace as one of the lead investors.

🚔 Peregrine Technologies, a company that creates technology to help public safety agencies make data-driven decisions, raised $190M at a valuation of $2.5B with Sequoia Capital as the lead investor.

Insights from Google Trends...

🏭 Search volume for "TSMC" shot up by 600% on Mar 3 ➡️ Probably cause the company announced plans to ramp up its US presence with a massive $100B investment — funding three chip plants, two packaging facilities, and an R&D center in Arizona.

🇵🇦 Search volume for "BlackRock" increased by 300% on Mar 4 ➡️ News broke out that a BlackRock-led consortium agreed to purchase majority stakes in ports on both sides of the Panama Canal for $22.8B.

🚀 Search volume for "SpaceX" shot up by 1,000% on Mar 6 ➡️ We’re guessing it has something to do with Musk’s Starship exploding mid-flight for a second time.

Vibe Check

Thoughts on this week's newsletter?

​ 🤑🤑🤑 Keep 'em coming! ​
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​ 🤑🤑 Not great, not terrible ​
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​ 🤑 Weak sauce ​

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Thanks for reading and stay tuned for next week's edition!

- Tech Fizz Team

DISCLAIMER: The content in this newsletter is not monetary advice; it is for educational and informational purposes only. Stocks can be risky and speculative. Please do your own research before investing.